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THE OUTSIDER: Risk has become the department of no-can-do


COMMENTS

We're hoping for the good risk people with whom we could work properly and have serious arguments on the real risk, but we're not there yet...  Read all comments »

A few months ago I rashly went on the record as saying that one of the benefits of the financial crisis was that in future investment banks would have much improved risk management functions. And I believed it.

Even now, looking back on it, it still makes sense. There was a clear disconnect not only between the rocket scientists on the trading desks who were taking on risk for their firms and the risk managers who were supposed to be supervising them, but in turn between risk management and the boards of some of the largest firms.

This was an opportunity. It was an opportunity for the board to upgrade their risk managers – hiring better people, investing in better training for the ones they had, raising their status and authority within the firm – so that they themselves could sleep at night. For the risk managers it was a chance to be better placed and of course better paid.

Even the traders who put on the positions had an interest in higher calibre risk managers who better understood the business and could work with them as a resource providing intelligent insight rather than playing the role of PC Plod.

So what has actually happened? My naivety was fully exposed the other day over lunch with a senior equity capital markets banker at one of the major firms. A lot of interesting financings are going on right now. Major restructurings in banking and mining, for example, have led to some significant capital raisings and a potential fee fest for the winners.

In the particular case my friend was talking about, his team had looked at the proposed pricing and the sizing and placed the deal in its overall market context, and they wanted as big a piece of the cake as they could get. They pitched their skills and expertise to the issuer, persuaded their own board members to call in favours with its top management to try to increase their firm’s ticket size, and eventually received an invitation to underwrite a chunky, potentially very lucrative amount.

At which point, the brave new world of risk management stepped in. Only it wasn’t a new world at all. It was the old world, but with attitude. Finally the little people were having their moment in the sun. The risk managers were essentially the same people – no new faces, no new skills – only this time they were in charge. The hot shots from the trading floor had to learn humility and prudence at the feet of black belts in the art of NoCanDo. And in the particular case my friend was bemoaning, this meant going back to the issuer – that’s right, the same issuer the chairman had called to ask for a bigger ticket – and say that in fact they felt better able to support their client with a somewhat reduced underwriting. So reduced in fact as to be almost out of sight.

At the Commitment Committee the risk managers pontificated about ‘managing exposures’. They did not actually propose any concrete measures, just wanted less of everything, because in their brave new world the safest firm is the one that does the least.

Inactivity has become a virtue, at least until the next bonus round, when perhaps somebody senior will wake up and realise that in a firm with a perfectly quiet trading floor – quiet because no-one is doing anything – nobody gets paid.

I hope this particular firm is an exception, in which case the brutally efficient evolutionary processes of the Square Mile will ensure that the necessary changes are made. If not, then a lot of hard working people are in for huge disappointment.

To all the risk managers out there, say after me: Risk is good. We like risk. Risk is what pays the overhead. We just need to price it properly. And if we don’t have the stomach for it, maybe we should be doing something else.

 

COMMENTS

indiajack, Quantitative Analytics,  Tue 30 Jun 09

Indded it should be priced properly, the cost of the correct amount capital supporting it should be added and then the return consiedred in the light of this and any associated cost-benefit analysis.

Know your risk and consider it and the assocaited profit in te proper light. If not, you should not be in the business in the first place. Otherwise, the crisis will recur.

Add your comment »

Zaa, Capital Markets,  Tue 30 Jun 09

Or... in a deal free world, desperate, bonus crazed, bankers call in all sorts of favours to get whatever little business is left, regardless of how risky (even commodities in world where nobody is buying), and risk sensibly says "Not quite" given we're in the nastiest depression in quite some time. Good risk management means not saying yes all the time.

Add your comment »

Looking for better articles from efinancial, Asset Management,  Tue 30 Jun 09

Unfortunately the main point I take awy from this article is that David Charters is rather ignorant of both "rocket science" and "risk management". Stick to corporate finance David, and leave talking about the complicated stuff to people that understand it better.

Add your comment »

chris1571,  Tue 30 Jun 09

To me it seems that another clear indication that nothing has changed at this particular firm, is the fact that Risk Management was only brought in AFTER they actually received the invitation to underwrite this lucrative amount.

So, clearly risk management is still not taken seriously by both the executing team and its own board. Otherwise it would have gotten involved at a much earlier stage.

The disconnect that is referred to in the second paragraph is obviously still there and for some reason the author puts the blame entirely on the "little people." All in all, a quite one-sided article in my opinion.

Add your comment »

The Weasle, Credit,  Tue 30 Jun 09

Just say no to everything and take the money. Its FO jobs on the line, not mine !!

Add your comment »

zeph33,  Tue 30 Jun 09

I fully agree with David, and I have the same feeling. It doesn't seem that things have changed. We're hoping for the good risk people with whom we could work properly and have serious arguments on the real risk, but we're not there yet...

Add your comment »

XYZ, Risk Management,  Tue 30 Jun 09

What a morron - he actually knows nothing. Risk management is all about the complexity of the risk system and data infrastructure to support that system - risk managers control the entire firm: operations, portfolio managers, account managers, data management because risks are everywhere - not just with those that actually take risks. Keep debating and writing articles about nothing that you understand like most "elite" bankers

Add your comment »

frustratedbyRMpeople, Debt / Fixed Income,  Wed 01 Jul 09

excellent article and definitely true, nothing has changed in the risk management world, same people, same routine, still no clue what is going on,,,

Add your comment »

toals, Derivatives,  Wed 01 Jul 09

I really don't see why eFC bothers with guest comment articles like this one. As previous posters have observed, they tend to be poorly written, by people with no professional credibility externally. At least provide guest writers with some journalistic guidelines so that they have the chance not to embarrass themselves.

Add your comment »

collingworth,  Wed 01 Jul 09

This is an issue of risk governance. Risk appetite, which defines the level of risk being taken, should be set by the board according to shareholder requirements. Risk managers under the direction of a Chief Risk Officer manage risk on behalf of the board to ensure risk is kept in line with risk appetite. If a deal is going to put risk appetite out of line it should be blocked. If the risk appetite is wrong this is a matter for the board!

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